Curriculum Vitae

Louise Bernard

Senior data scientist and economist specialising in randomised field trials and quasi-experimental causal inference.

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Experience

Jan 2025 — Present

Senior Data Scientist

Centre for Net Zero (Octopus Energy Group), London

  • Lead trial design and analysis across flexibility, EV charging, and low-carbon technology programmes, in partnership with Octopus Energy teams who implement the trials.
  • Co-author of a dynamic-pricing field experiment with ~110k EV charging users; findings informed Octopus Energy's launch of an equivalent product in the French market.
  • Author CNZ policy briefs and technical reports targeted at UK system operators and regulators (NESO, Ofgem, DESNZ) on demand-side flexibility evidence.
Jul 2023 — Dec 2024

Data Scientist

Centre for Net Zero (Octopus Energy Group), London

  • Analysed the Demand Flexibility Service (implemented by Octopus Energy) — one of the largest domestic demand flexibility programmes to date — covering 2.6M customers and tens of millions of half-hourly smart meter observations.
  • Designed and analysed quasi-experimental and randomised trials on heat pumps and time-of-use tariffs, using staggered-adoption difference-in-differences on multi-year half-hourly smart meter panels.
  • Authored pre-analysis plan and power-calculation templates now used across the analyst team; built reusable R analysis pipelines for ongoing trial evaluations.
Jul 2022 — Jul 2023

Consultant

World Bank — Global Facility for Disaster Reduction & Recovery (GFDRR), London

  • Co-authored research on land scarcity, urbanisation, and flood risk using causal inference and spatial econometric methods on large geospatial and administrative datasets.
  • Awarded the World Bank Sustainable Development Fellowship.

Selected working papers

2024

Decarbonizing Heat: The Impact of Heat Pumps and a Time-of-Use Heat Pump Tariff on Energy Demand

with Andy Hackett, Robert D. Metcalfe, and Andrew Schein — NBER WP No. 33036 - resubmitted to American Economic Journal: Economic Policy

2025

The Impact of Dynamic Prices on Electric Vehicle Public Charging Demand: Evidence from a Nationwide Natural Field Experiment

with Andy Hackett, Robert D. Metcalfe, Luca Panzone, and Andrew Schein — NBER WP No. 34600

2023

Nowhere Else to Go? Urbanisation and Flood Risks in China: The Role of Land Scarcity

with Paolo Avner, Jun Rentschler, and Capucine Riom

2021

The Impact of Floods on Retrospective Voting in England

with Allan Beltran and Karlygash Kuralbayeva

Teaching

LSE

Applied GIS — MSc level

LSE

Spatial Econometrics — MSc level

City, UoL

Applied Econometrics — Undergraduate

Education

PhD

Urban Economics

London School of Economics

MSc

Economics, Real Estate & Finance

London School of Economics

MPA

Master in Public Administration

London School of Economics

BA

Political Science

Sciences Po Paris

Affiliations

2025 —

Cabinet Office Evaluation & Trial Advice Panel (ETAP)

Member — providing technical advice on evaluation methods to UK government departments

Methods & tools

Methods
A/B testing & RCTs, quasi-experimental design, panel and spatial econometrics, difference-in-differences (incl. Callaway–Sant'Anna), instrumental variables, regression discontinuity, synthetic control.
Tools
R, Python, SQL, Stata, Git, Databricks / PySpark.
Languages
French (native), English (fluent), Mandarin and German (basic).